Latest Polls Have Harris Ahead in Michigan, Wisconsin, Tied in PA
- Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan and is tied in Pennsylvania.
- Latest betting markets released on Sean "Diddy" Combs as he is denied bail in alleged sex trafficking case.
- FBI arrests Denver man in connection with alleged "fake" cryptos tied to illegal gambling.
- Billy Napier firing odds heat up.
Politics
Kamala Harris Leads Donald Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan and is Tied in PA
Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by 5 points among likely voters in Michigan while leading slightly in Wisconsin. The candidates are tied in Pennsylvania according to Marist battleground state polls released Thursday.
Fifty-two percent of likely voters polled in Michigan supported Harris, while 47 percent supported Trump; in Wisconsin, 50 percent of likely voters polled supported Harris, compared to 49 percent who said they supported Trump.
Harris and Trump each received 49 percent of support among likely voters in Pennsylvania, the survey found.
Harris also leads slightly among Independents in Michigan, 49 percent to 47 percent.
In Wisconsin, Harris had a wider lead among independents only, ahead of Trump 51 percent compared to his 47 percent.
Swing State odds at BetOnline were as follows..
Which party will win Popular Vote in Arizona?
Republicans -150
Democrats +120
(NOTE: Odds imply a 60% probability Republicans will win Arizona)
Which party will win Popular Vote in Georgia?
Republicans -140
Democrats +110
(NOTE: Odds imply a 58.3% probability Republicans will win Georgia)
Which party will win Popular Vote in Michigan?
Republicans +150
Democrats -180
(NOTE: Odds imply a 64.3% probability Democrats will win Michigan)
Which party will win Popular Vote in Nevada?
Republicans +100
Democrats -130
(NOTE: Odds imply a 56.5% probability Democrats will win Nevada)
Which party will win Popular Vote in North Carolina?
Republicans -140
Democrats +110
(NOTE: Odds imply a 58.3% probability Republicans will win North Carolina)
Which party will win Popular Vote in Pennsylvania?
Republicans -110
Democrats -120
(NOTE: Odds imply a 54.5% probability Democrats will win Pennsylvania)
Which party will win Popular Vote in Wisconsin?
Republicans +150
Democrats -180
(NOTE: Odds imply a 64.3% probability Democrats will win Wisconsin)
2024 Presidential Election Odds
Kamala Harris -135
Donald Trump +115
Any Other Person +5000
- Harris Ahead in Pennsylvania and Tied Nationally? Unpacking an Unexpected Result
- Pennsylvania polls show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump, but not by much
- Harris and Trump essentially tied in Pennsylvania, Post poll finds
Entertainment
Extensive Diddy Betting Markets Unveiled at Manifold
Hardly anyone (just 1%) of those betting at Manifold believe music mogul and alleged sex trafficker Sean "Diddy" Combs will be released from prison any time soon.
From the Daily Mail:
So serious are the allegations aimed at Combs, he has been compared to notorious billionaire sex trafficker Jeffery Epstein, who committed suicide by hanging in 2019 while housed at New York's Metropolitan Correctional Facility on federal charges of trafficking minors.
The rapper has been accused of hosting sordid sex parties, referred to as 'freak offs,' during which it has been alleged his victims would be drugged, forced to have sex for days on end, and left with such severe injuries they needed weeks to recover.
He has pleaded not guilty to all of the charges he faces.
Will Diddy still be alive in 2030?
64%
Will Diddy get Epsteined while incarcerated at MDC Brooklyn?
18%
Will Justin Bieber testify in any legal proceedings against Sean 'Diddy' Combs by December 31, 2025?
42%
Will Sean 'Diddy' Combs be found deceased under suspicious circumstances by December 31, 2025?
23%+3%
Any more raids conducted against P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) during 2024?
58%
Will anyone undergo any procedures in an "attempt" to prove P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) shot them in the face?
44%
What is the best P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) song?
Will P Diddy be found guilty of a crime by EOY 2026?
87%
Was the gun that killed Tupac found in one of Diddy's homes?
11%
[Polymarket-linked] Diddy released from custody by Friday?
1%
College Football
Florida Football Coach Candidates Replacements for Billy Napier Should He Be Canned
ESPN identifies several potential candidates for the Gators should they move on from their current coach, Billy Napier.
Nebraska's Matt Rhule and Penn State's James Franklin were among the names mentioned this week on ESPN's 'College GameDay' podcast.
The Gainesville Sun included several other options for the Gators earlier this week, including Liberty's Jamey Chadwell, along with Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin and Missouri's Eli Drinkwitz, a pair also mentioned on the ESPN podcast.
BetOnline currently has Napier as the 2/3 favorite to be the first college football head coach fired.
- Billy Napier addresses SEC response to questionable targeting call on DB Trikweze Bridges
- Pete Thamel: Florida officials do not have same 'urgency' as fan base to fire Billy Napier
Cryptocurrencies
FBI Cracks Down on Illegal Gambling Network Using Fake Crypto
A Denver resident has been convicted of running an illegal gambling business involving several parlors across Colorado. The scheme involved electronic games and a fake cryptocurrency to conceal the exchange of credits for cash, revealing fraud and money laundering. The only function of this crypto “was to be exchanged for cash at an ATM-like ‘cryptocurrency teller machine’ next door to or within the gambling parlor.”
The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Colorado announced on Tuesday that Jonathan Arvay, a 38-year-old Denver resident, has been convicted of conducting and conspiring to run an illegal gambling business. A federal jury found Arvay guilty on both counts. His operation involved a network of illegal gambling parlors throughout Colorado.
Arvay operated Player One Arcade in Denver, according to authorities.
“These gambling dens masqueraded as arcades with a veneer of legitimacy,” said Matt Kirsch, acting United States Attorney for the District of Colorado . “I am grateful to law enforcement for digging beneath the veneer and finding that these establishments were causing real harm in our communities.”
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